Waterberg Crime Insights
What the data reveals for 25 precincts in Waterberg
District Overview
The big picture for Waterberg
Waterberg has 25 police precincts reporting a combined 10,844 crimes in the latest period. Of these, 14 precincts are improving, 8 are worsening, and 3 are stable.
10.8k
Total crimes
14
Improving
8
Worsening
3
Stable
District avg. trend
+3.0%
vs Apr–Dec 2024
Provincial avg. trend
-3.6%
Limpopo average
Source: SAPS quarterly crime statistics, Apr–Dec 2025 vs Apr–Dec 2024. 25 precincts in Waterberg.
Top Improvers & Worseners
Which precincts in Waterberg are moving the most?
Of 25 precincts, 14 saw crime decrease and 8 saw crime increase vs Apr–Dec 2024. Here are the most significant movers.
Five-year trajectories
| Precinct | 5-year change | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Dwaalboom | -64.9% | improved |
| Roedtan | -48.2% | improved |
| Cumberland | -43.9% | improved |
| Modimolle | -25.9% | improved |
| Lephalale | -25.9% | improved |
| Thabazimbi | -25.7% | improved |
| Bela-Bela | -24.8% | improved |
| Naboomspruit | -23.9% | improved |
| Mahwelereng | -23.8% | improved |
| Vaalwater | -13.5% | improved |
Source: SAPS quarterly crime statistics. Change vs prior year for 2025-2026 vs 2024-2025. Five-year change compares earliest and latest complete annual periods.
Precinct Rankings
All 25 precincts ranked by total crime
From the quietest to the busiest — every precinct in Waterberg ranked by total reported crime for the latest period.
| # | Precinct | Total | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cumberland | 8 | ↑37.5% |
| 2 | Dwaalboom | 20 | ↑68.8% |
| 3 | Hoopdal | 39 | ↑57.6% |
| 4 | Roedtan | 47 | ↓24.1% |
| 5 | Bulgerivier | 49 | ↑51.2% |
| 6 | Rankin's Pass | 54 | ↑14.3% |
| 7 | Dorset | 57 | →1.3% |
| 8 | Tuinplaas | 61 | ↑2.5% |
| 9 | Rooiberg | 68 | ↓18.8% |
| 10 | Rust De Winter | 92 | ↓27.2% |
| 11 | Tom Burke | 156 | ↑5.6% |
| 12 | Pienaarsrivier | 170 | →1.3% |
| 13 | Vaalwater | 318 | ↓8.0% |
| 14 | Witpoort | 342 | ↓8.8% |
| 15 | Villa Nora | 415 | ↓21.4% |
| 16 | Gilead | 465 | ↓5.1% |
| 17 | Thabazimbi | 478 | ↓22.8% |
| 18 | Tinmyne | 495 | ↓4.6% |
| 19 | Naboomspruit | 693 | ↓5.8% |
| 20 | Northam | 745 | →1.4% |
| 21 | Lephalale | 822 | ↓2.1% |
| 22 | Modimolle | 887 | ↓4.8% |
| 23 | Bela-Bela | 1,284 | ↓5.3% |
| 24 | Mokopane | 1,364 | ↓4.6% |
| 25 | Mahwelereng | 1,715 | ↑2.1% |
Source: SAPS quarterly crime statistics, Apr–Dec 2025 vs Apr–Dec 2024. Ranked by total reported serious crimes.
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Data Sources & Methodology
- Crime data: SAPS quarterly crime statistics, publicly available at saps.gov.za
- Analysis covers 25 precincts in Waterberg, Limpopo
- Change vs prior year uses the period: 2025-2026 vs 2024-2025
- COVID recovery compares 2018-2019 (pre-COVID) to 2022-2023 (post-COVID) financial years
- SAPS data reflects reported crime only. Under-reporting varies by area and crime type.
- This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be used as the sole basis for safety or property decisions. Full disclaimer
- Full methodology →