Carolina Crime Statistics
How much crime was reported in Carolina?
The Carolina SAPS precinct recorded 965 crimes in Apr 2025–Mar 2026, roughly unchanged vs Apr 2024–Mar 2025.
Latest quarter (Apr–Jun 2026): 215 crimes, down 2.3% vs Apr–Jun 2025 (220).
Largest categories
Whole-precinct figures, reported crime only, raw counts. Source: SAPS quarterly crime statistics (saps.gov.za), Apr 2025–Mar 2026.
What this data can't tell you
How we handle these →Where within the precinct. SAPS reports one figure for the whole area.
Unreported crime. Only crime reported to police is counted, so real incidence is higher.
Crime per resident. Raw counts, no population adjustment — the trend is the steadier signal.
Reported crimes
965
Apr 2025–Mar 2026 · Full year
vs pre-COVID baseline
↑ 26.5%
above 2018-2019
Updated · SAPS Q1 2026-27 release
What's changing?
Biggest category changes vs Apr 2024–Mar 2025
Residential burglary dropped significantly (-48) while All theft not mentioned elsewhere increased (+34).
Crime trend by year
Dashed: Apr–Jun 2026 only (1 of 4 quarters published) — a partial year, not comparable with the full years before it.
Hollow points with dashed lines indicate years with fewer than 4 quarters of data — those totals may be lower because SAPS has not released every quarter.
Over the past decade, crime here has risen.
The numbers behind that — recent years vs earlier years, averaged to see past a one-year spike
Over ~5 years
↑ 21.2%
avg 23/24–25/26 vs avg 18/19–20/21
Over ~10 years
↑ 34.7%
avg 23/24–25/26 vs avg 13/14–15/16
Crime breakdown
Top reported offences in 2025-2026
| Crime category | Reported count |
|---|---|
| Serious assault | 136 |
| All theft not mentioned elsewhere | 133 |
| Common assault | 87 |
| Residential burglary | 79 |
| Business burglary | 68 |
| Commercial crime | 68 |
| Malicious damage | 54 |
| Stock-theft | 54 |
View full crime breakdown table
| Category | 2025-2026 | 2024-2025 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Serious assault | 136 | 137 | -1 |
| All theft not mentioned elsewhere | 133 | 99 | +34 |
| Common assault | 87 | 68 | +19 |
| Residential burglary | 79 | 127 | -48 |
| Business burglary | 68 | 86 | -18 |
| Commercial crime | 68 | 40 | +28 |
| Malicious damage | 54 | 55 | -1 |
| Stock-theft | 54 | 81 | -27 |
| Aggravated robbery | 41 | 55 | -14 |
| Carjacking | 0 | 7 | -7 |
| Truck hijacking | 1 | 4 | -3 |
| Robbery at residential premises | 7 | 4 | +3 |
| Robbery at non-residential premises | 13 | 11 | +2 |
| Robbery of cash in transit | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bank robbery | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Components of aggravated robbery above, already counted in that total. Not additional crimes. SAPS reports these both individually and within the aggravated-robbery figure. | |||
| Illegal possession of firearms and ammunition | 35 | 2 | +33 |
| Theft from vehicle | 34 | 58 | -24 |
| Drug-related crime | 33 | 17 | +16 |
| Rape | 30 | 28 | +2 |
| Shoplifting | 21 | 13 | +8 |
| Driving under the influence of alcohol or drugs | 18 | 12 | +6 |
| Culpable homicide | 17 | 18 | -1 |
| Common robbery | 16 | 24 | -8 |
| Sexual assault | 11 | 3 | +8 |
| Murder | 8 | 11 | -3 |
| Vehicle theft | 7 | 18 | -11 |
| Kidnapping | 6 | 11 | -5 |
| Attempted murder | 3 | 6 | -3 |
| Crimen injuria | 3 | 4 | -1 |
| Public violence | 2 | 0 | +2 |
| Arson | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Abduction | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Attempted sexual offences | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Contact sexual offences | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Neglect and ill-treatment of children | 0 | 1 | -1 |
| Sexual offences detected as a result of police action | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Compare with nearby areas
Other precincts in Gert Sibande
Sorted by total reported crimes (lowest first)
See Carolina on the national crime map
View this precinct's boundary in context, with a year-by-year timeline back to 2013/14 and every other Mpumalanga precinct around it.
Open Carolina on the crime map →Frequently Asked Questions
Common questions about crime in Carolina
Check another area
Data Sources & Notes
- Crime data: SAPS quarterly crime statistics
- SAPS data reflects reported crime only. Crime reporting rates vary by area. How much crime goes unreported? →
- This data is for informational purposes only and should not be used as the sole basis for safety or property decisions. Full disclaimer
- Full methodology →