Carolina Crime Statistics
Gert Sibande|1 suburb
How much crime was reported in Carolina?
The Carolina SAPS precinct recorded 965 crimes in Apr 2025–Mar 2026, roughly unchanged vs Apr 2024–Mar 2025.
High volume for MpumalangaModerate nationally
Largest categories
Whole-precinct figures, reported crime only, raw counts. Source: SAPS quarterly crime statistics (saps.gov.za), Apr 2025–Mar 2026.
What this data can't tell you
- Exactly where in the precinct crimes happened. SAPS reports crime per police precinct. These figures cover the whole Carolina precinct area.
- Crime that was never reported. SAPS counts crimes reported to the police. Not all crime is reported, so actual incidence is higher. Reporting rates also vary by area and crime type, so there is no reliable way to correct for it. How we handle this →
- How crime compares per resident. These are raw counts with no population adjustment. Precincts serving more people naturally record more crimes. The trend over time, which compares this precinct against its own history, is the more reliable signal.
See how Carolina compares to other Mpumalanga precincts vs Apr 2024–Mar 2025 → Crime by precinct in Gert Sibande →
Crime volume
High
in Mpumalanga · Moderate nationally
Reported crimes
965
Apr 2025–Mar 2026 · Full year
vs Apr 2024–Mar 2025
→ 1%
no change vs Apr 2024–Mar 2025
vs pre-COVID baseline
↑ 26.5%
above 2018-2019
Updated · SAPS Q4 2025-26 release
Crime in Carolina has been relatively stable vs Apr 2024–Mar 2025 (within ±2%).
What's changing?
Biggest changes vs Apr 2024–Mar 2025
Residential burglary dropped significantly (-48) while All theft not mentioned elsewhere increased (+34).
Residential burglary-48
All theft not mentioned elsewhere+34
Illegal possession of firearms and ammunition+33
Commercial crime+28
Crime trend by year
Crime breakdown
Top reported offences in 2025-2026
| Crime category | Reported count |
|---|---|
| Serious assault | 136 |
| All theft not mentioned elsewhere | 133 |
| Common assault | 87 |
| Residential burglary | 79 |
| Business burglary | 68 |
| Commercial crime | 68 |
| Malicious damage | 54 |
| Stock-theft | 54 |
View full crime breakdown table
| Category | 2025-2026 | 2024-2025 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Serious assault | 136 | 137 | -1 |
| All theft not mentioned elsewhere | 133 | 99 | +34 |
| Common assault | 87 | 68 | +19 |
| Residential burglary | 79 | 127 | -48 |
| Business burglary | 68 | 86 | -18 |
| Commercial crime | 68 | 40 | +28 |
| Malicious damage | 54 | 55 | -1 |
| Stock-theft | 54 | 81 | -27 |
| Aggravated robbery | 41 | 55 | -14 |
| Carjacking | 0 | 7 | -7 |
| Truck hijacking | 1 | 4 | -3 |
| Robbery at residential premises | 7 | 4 | +3 |
| Robbery at non-residential premises | 13 | 11 | +2 |
| Robbery of cash in transit | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bank robbery | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Components of aggravated robbery above, already counted in that total. Not additional crimes. SAPS reports these both individually and within the aggravated-robbery figure. | |||
| Illegal possession of firearms and ammunition | 35 | 2 | +33 |
| Theft from vehicle | 34 | 58 | -24 |
| Drug-related crime | 33 | 17 | +16 |
| Rape | 30 | 28 | +2 |
| Shoplifting | 21 | 13 | +8 |
| Driving under the influence of alcohol or drugs | 18 | 12 | +6 |
| Culpable homicide | 17 | 18 | -1 |
| Common robbery | 16 | 24 | -8 |
| Sexual assault | 11 | 3 | +8 |
| Murder | 8 | 11 | -3 |
| Vehicle theft | 7 | 18 | -11 |
| Kidnapping | 6 | 11 | -5 |
| Attempted murder | 3 | 6 | -3 |
| Crimen injuria | 3 | 4 | -1 |
| Public violence | 2 | 0 | +2 |
| Arson | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Abduction | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Attempted sexual offences | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Contact sexual offences | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Neglect and ill-treatment of children | 0 | 1 | -1 |
| Sexual offences detected as a result of police action | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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Compare with nearby areas
Other precincts in Gert Sibande
Sorted by total reported crimes (lowest first)
See Carolina on the national crime map
View this precinct's boundary in context, with a year-by-year timeline back to 2013/14 and every other Mpumalanga precinct around it.
Open Carolina on the crime map →Frequently Asked Questions
Common questions about crime in Carolina
The Carolina SAPS precinct recorded 965 crimes in Apr 2025–Mar 2026, roughly stable vs Apr 2024–Mar 2025. The largest categories were Serious assault (136), All theft not mentioned elsewhere (133), Common assault (87). These are whole-precinct raw counts of reported crime, not adjusted for population.
The Carolina SAPS precinct recorded 965 crimes in Apr 2025–Mar 2026 — roughly stable vs Apr 2024–Mar 2025. 8 murders were reported. It sits in the "High" crime-volume tier for Mpumalanga precincts. SafeSuburb presents SAPS figures as published — we do not rate precincts safe or unsafe. SAPS reports crime at precinct level, not per suburb, so every suburb in this precinct shares the same data.
The Carolina SAPS precinct reported 965 crimes in Apr 2025–Mar 2026. Crime is roughly stable vs Apr 2024–Mar 2025.
Crime in the Carolina SAPS precinct has remained broadly stable (within ±2%) vs Apr 2024–Mar 2025. The precinct reported 965 crimes in Apr 2025–Mar 2026, compared to the same period in the previous financial year.
The most frequently reported crime category in the Carolina SAPS precinct is Assault with the intent to inflict grievous bodily harm.
The Carolina SAPS precinct covers: Carolina. All these suburbs share the same crime statistics because SAPS reports data at precinct level, not per suburb.
Check another area
Data Sources & Notes
- Crime data: SAPS quarterly crime statistics
- SAPS data reflects reported crime only. Crime reporting rates vary by area. How much crime goes unreported? →
- This data is for informational purposes only and should not be used as the sole basis for safety or property decisions. Full disclaimer
- Full methodology →