Ermelo Precinct
How much crime was reported in the Ermelo precinct?
The Ermelo SAPS precinct recorded 2,668 crimes in Apr 2025–Mar 2026, down 8.2% compared with Apr 2024–Mar 2025.
A raw count, not adjusted for population: larger police areas serve more people and record more crime.
Latest quarter (Apr–Jun 2026): 648 crimes, up 11.5% compared with Apr–Jun 2025 (581).
Very High volume for Mpumalanga: the highest fifth of its 90 precincts by reported crime, Apr–Jun 2026.
Nationally Very High: the highest fifth of the 1,165 precincts that reported crime, Apr–Jun 2026.
Whole-precinct figures, reported crime only, raw counts. Source: SAPS quarterly crime statistics (saps.gov.za), Apr 2025–Mar 2026.
What this data can't tell you
How we handle these →Where within the precinct. SAPS reports one figure for the whole area; all 2 suburbs share it.
Unreported crime. Only crime reported to police is counted, so real incidence is higher.
Crime per resident. Raw counts, no population adjustment — the trend is the steadier signal.
View 2 suburbs in this precinct
Reported crimes
2,668
Apr 2025–Mar 2026 · Full year
Compared with 2018/19
↓ 24.6%
fewer than in 2018/19, before the pandemic
Updated · SAPS Q1 2026-27 release
Crime breakdown
Top reported offences in 2025-2026, with change vs Apr 2024–Mar 2025
| Crime category | Reported count | Change vs Apr 2024–Mar 2025 |
|---|---|---|
| Serious assault | 344 | +20 |
| Residential burglary | 322 | -50 |
| All theft not mentioned elsewhere | 308 | -31 |
| Commercial crime | 260 | -79 |
| Driving under the influence of alcohol or drugs | 234 | +67 |
| Common assault | 197 | -42 |
| Malicious damage | 152 | -14 |
| Aggravated robbery | 123 | -21 |
| Carjacking | 4 | |
| Truck hijacking | 1 | |
| Robbery at residential premises | 15 | |
| Robbery at non-residential premises | 11 | |
| Robbery of cash in transit | 0 | |
| Bank robbery | 0 | |
| Components of aggravated robbery above, already counted in that total. Not additional crimes. | ||
| Theft from vehicle | 77 | -57 |
| Business burglary | 76 | -55 |
Crime over time
Reported crimes per SAPS financial year, by category
Crime trend by year
Dashed: Apr–Jun 2026 only (1 of 4 quarters published) — a partial year, not comparable with the full years before it.
Hollow points with dashed lines indicate years with fewer than 4 quarters of data — those totals may be lower because SAPS has not released every quarter.
Over the past decade, crime here has fallen.
The numbers behind that — recent years vs earlier years, averaged to see past a one-year spike
Over ~5 years
↓ 14.5%
avg 23/24–25/26 vs avg 18/19–20/21
Over ~10 years
↓ 45.4%
avg 23/24–25/26 vs avg 13/14–15/16
Year-by-year totals
| Year | Reported crimes |
|---|---|
| 2026/27 (Apr–Jun only) | 648 |
| 2025/26 | 2,668 |
| 2024/25 | 2,905 |
| 2023/24 | 2,902 |
| 2022/23 | 2,822 |
| 2021/22 | 3,130 |
| 2020/21 | 2,922 |
| 2019/20 | 3,454 |
| 2018/19 | 3,539 |
| 2017/18 | 4,246 |
| 2016/17 | 4,847 |
| 2015/16 | 5,195 |
| 2014/15 | 5,095 |
| 2013/14 | 5,244 |
View full crime breakdown table
| Category | 2025-2026 | 2024-2025 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Serious assault | 344 | 324 | +20 |
| Residential burglary | 322 | 372 | -50 |
| All theft not mentioned elsewhere | 308 | 339 | -31 |
| Commercial crime | 260 | 339 | -79 |
| Driving under the influence of alcohol or drugs | 234 | 167 | +67 |
| Common assault | 197 | 239 | -42 |
| Malicious damage | 152 | 166 | -14 |
| Aggravated robbery | 123 | 144 | -21 |
| Carjacking | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Truck hijacking | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Robbery at residential premises | 15 | 20 | -5 |
| Robbery at non-residential premises | 11 | 17 | -6 |
| Robbery of cash in transit | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bank robbery | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Components of aggravated robbery above, already counted in that total. Not additional crimes. SAPS reports these both individually and within the aggravated-robbery figure. | |||
| Rape | 112 | 93 | +19 |
| Drug-related crime | 95 | 73 | +22 |
| Theft from vehicle | 77 | 134 | -57 |
| Business burglary | 76 | 131 | -55 |
| Stock-theft | 67 | 69 | -2 |
| Shoplifting | 65 | 60 | +5 |
| Common robbery | 57 | 82 | -25 |
| Sexual assault | 31 | 17 | +14 |
| Culpable homicide | 27 | 20 | +7 |
| Murder | 26 | 34 | -8 |
| Vehicle theft | 26 | 37 | -11 |
| Attempted murder | 21 | 20 | +1 |
| Kidnapping | 17 | 18 | -1 |
| Illegal possession of firearms and ammunition | 10 | 7 | +3 |
| Crimen injuria | 5 | 2 | +3 |
| Arson | 4 | 2 | +2 |
| Contact sexual offences | 4 | 5 | -1 |
| Attempted sexual offences | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Neglect and ill-treatment of children | 2 | 9 | -7 |
| Public violence | 2 | 0 | +2 |
| Abduction | 1 | 0 | +1 |
| Sexual offences detected as a result of police action | 1 | 0 | +1 |
Neighbouring police precincts
Precincts sharing a boundary with Ermelo, listed alphabetically. Counts are for Apr–Jun 2026, changes vs Apr–Jun 2025.
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Ermelo SAPS
Gert Sibande District Municipality
Contact details last verified: 2026-09-27. Source: SAPS · municipalities.co.za
See Ermelo on the national crime map
View this precinct's boundary in context, with a year-by-year timeline back to 2013/14 and every other Mpumalanga precinct around it.
Open Ermelo on the crime map →Frequently Asked Questions
Common questions about crime in Ermelo
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Data Sources & Notes
- Crime data: SAPS quarterly crime statistics
- SAPS data reflects reported crime only. Crime reporting rates vary by area. How much crime goes unreported? →
- This data is for informational purposes only and should not be used as the sole basis for safety or property decisions. Full disclaimer
- Full methodology →